Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.021086 0.024519 0.028305 0.032786 0.037940 0.043680 0.050552
2025-11-30 0.016580 0.021198 0.026758 0.033930 0.042920 0.053796 0.067939
2025-12-07 0.013013 0.018070 0.024642 0.033770 0.046081 0.062064 0.084342
2025-12-14 0.010166 0.015197 0.022192 0.032566 0.047488 0.068088 0.098586
2025-12-21 0.008329 0.013301 0.020644 0.032185 0.049753 0.075351 0.115295
2025-12-28 0.007434 0.012589 0.020621 0.033907 0.055164 0.087627 0.140654
2026-01-04 0.006551 0.011713 0.020164 0.034820 0.059362 0.098485 0.165105
2026-01-11 0.005498 0.010357 0.018697 0.033824 0.060276 0.104188 0.181950
2026-01-18 0.004750 0.009394 0.017724 0.033475 0.062140 0.111533 0.202197
2026-01-25 0.004055 0.008405 0.016542 0.032552 0.062819 0.116847 0.219445
2026-02-01 0.003513 0.007614 0.015597 0.031905 0.063861 0.122828 0.238420
2026-02-08 0.003112 0.007035 0.014966 0.031753 0.065769 0.130517 0.261263
2026-02-15 0.002688 0.006344 0.014029 0.030893 0.066256 0.135726 0.280284
2026-02-22 0.002521 0.006191 0.014177 0.032286 0.071448 0.150586 0.319755
2026-03-01 0.002260 0.005776 0.013705 0.032290 0.073749 0.159950 0.349263
2026-03-08 0.001956 0.005205 0.012802 0.031213 0.073586 0.164237 0.368774
2026-03-15 0.001743 0.004821 0.012265 0.030884 0.075016 0.171995 0.396419
2026-03-22 0.001674 0.004792 0.012566 0.032559 0.081200 0.190646 0.449634
2026-03-29 0.001566 0.004640 0.012543 0.033448 0.085650 0.205918 0.496920
2026-04-05 0.001377 0.004235 0.011822 0.032495 0.085560 0.210899 0.521341
2026-04-12 0.001240 0.003950 0.011368 0.032161 0.086944 0.219419 0.554850
2026-04-19 0.001096 0.003618 0.010739 0.031274 0.086813 0.224316 0.580239
2026-04-26 0.000979 0.003346 0.010235 0.030652 0.087285 0.230709 0.609904